| Vol. 22, No. 10 |
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Scientists and technologists have many opponents and a few actual enemies, but our greatest real enemy is ignorance - both in others and in ourselves. The language we speak, mathematics, and the technical subjects that we speak about can be understood by anyone who has made a special effort to learn them. That effort, however, requires so much time and expense that most people are not willing to undertake it. Moreover, professional scientists require many years of formal training and must acquire study habits which continue that training throughout their lives.
Each science student must not only learn a substantial amount of factual information; he must also learn to think quantitatively and with rigorous honesty about his subject.
There has been a tendency in science to teach to those who learn easily and to forget the others. Those forgotten others, comprising most of our fellow citizens, are now coming back to haunt us as they respond to the demagogues of pseudoscience and antitechnology - a response conditioned upon their lack of understanding of science.
When I taught 300 students each year at the University of Califor-nia at San Diego, this skimming procedure was the norm. The students read the best chemistry text available; listened to three lectures by me each week; attended laboratory twice weekly; and endured examinations at two-week intervals. In addition, every evening (five days each week) I returned to the lecture hall and answered questions until no students remained. The same 30 to 40 students came each evening. I doubt that more than 25% of the 300 students learned much from the course or that more than 10% mastered the material.
One student learned a great amount of science from these freshman chemistry courses - the professor. I found that my active knowledge of my subject increased substantially. Obviously, I already had good passive knowledge, the ability to understand. Active knowledge, however, is understanding so complete that all aspects of the subject are spontaneously used in everyday thought and work.
I have noticed that many of the best research scientists prefer to teach general introductory courses. The poorer scientists frequently prefer to teach "advanced'' courses. They prefer specialized subjects close to their research fields that require little thought or preparation.
The desire to teach introductory courses is often explained in terms of the professors' enthusiasm for teaching and stimulation by young minds. I have often suspected, however, that desire to personally relearn the basics of their subject is a primary motivation. This is, of course, not admitted. How many chemistry professors would admit to less than perfect knowledge of freshman chemistry?
This learning takes place while one is lecturing. It is a mental process linked to oral presentation. I have also noticed that my best research ideas occur when I am speaking with others about the research - whether or not the listeners contribute to the ideas.
Now, with the six students in my home school, I am definitely not interested in skimming off only those who learn easily. I am determined that each will learn the material well. This is the sort of motivation that the educators of science and technology need to bring to society at large. If most of our fellow citizens remain ignorant about science and technology, we will continue to be in political trouble from those who misuse that ignorance to personal advantage. The same holds true for ignorance about the moral and practical advantages of free enterprise.
Our home school is entirely self-taught by the students. Science is not taught until mathematics through introductory calculus has been completed by means of the excellent
Saxon Math series of books. (We recently interviewed John Saxon, the writer of these books. Interestingly, he does not think of them as self-teaching texts for use outside of organized classrooms, but they work very well in this use.) After the children finish Saxon calculus, they receive General Chemistry by Pauling and The Mechanical Universe - Mechanics and Heat, Advanced Edition by Frautschi, Olenick, Apostol, and Goodstein. When they finish The Mechanical Universe, they get Beyond the Mechanical Universe - from Electricity to Modern Physics by Olenick, Apostol, and Goodstein. They must read these books and work half the problems in the chemistry book and all of the problems in the physics books. They check their own answers and correct their own mistakes. They are also asked to read at their leisure (without a requirement to fully understand) the first volume of Lectures on Physics by Feynman, Leighton, and Sands. All of these books have been used as freshman texts for physics and chemistry at Caltech.Zachary (age 18) is finished with this; Noah (age 17) is in the middle of it; and Arynne (age 15) has started it, having finished
Saxon. All three have good math ability, with unrecentered SAT math scores of 750, 770, and 690 (a practice exam) respectively. The three vary, however, in their ability to absorb information from reading alone.I noticed that Noah was experiencing a difficulty identical to my
own experience when I was his age. One reads the book but doesn't really absorb it. Problem solving becomes an exercise in scrambling back through the text looking for formulas and combining these with computing tricks such as dimensional analysis. As the physics advanced, his error rate grew as high as 30%.Then we read
The Overnight Student by M. L. Jones, available from Louis Publishing, 1105 Inverness Lane, Bellingham, WA 98226, Ph. (206) 647-3229. This book advocates that the student become an oral teacher of an imaginary class.Noah tried this. Now, for about an hour each day, he closets himself in the press room where we have installed the equipment used to print and mail
Access to Energy. There, he teaches the physics orally in small segments to an imaginary audience as he reads through the book. Students are naturally shy. None of us has heard him do this.The result - his study time is reduced; he understands the material better; and his problem solving error rate has fallen essentially to 0%.
Some children are very talkative during the first few years of life, whereas others are quiet. Perhaps the talkative ones develop a technique for mental verbalization while reading when they are older.
Teaching others is a great way to learn; teaching orally is especially useful; and teaching science to our fellow citizens is essential to the cultural survival of science, technology, and freedom. Verbalization is a technique that can be of great value to this educational effort.
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It is remarkable how apparently quantitative and objective standards can actually enter our intellectual environment from subjective processes and, once there, become firmly entrenched. One night in the lab, as a graduate student, I decided to try to cleave a solid-phase synthesized peptide from its polystyrene support by means of a reaction in liquid hydrogen fluoride. I just guessed at the time and temperature that might work. Luckily, these reaction conditions worked, but I never found time to investigate further and determine the ideal conditions. During the next 20 years, this procedure was used in the synthesis of many thousands of peptides, but it was not changed. Each chemist carefully repeated the reaction conditions that I guessed in the lab that night as though these had been carefully determined experimentally. The procedure was acceptable, but it would have been much better if the reaction conditions had been optimized.
Quirks of human nature produce many guesses that become real because so many people notice them. Commodity and stock traders are very familiar with these. No silver trader can live without the price $6 engraved on his subconscious. Remember the many times the Dow stock average bounced off 1,000? Now it is rushing toward 5,000 (or perhaps 10,000). No one knows for sure where it will bounce downward, but, when the smoke clears, it will probably have bounced from
a "magic'' number. This is not numerology. It is the self-fulfilling nature of human psychology.These sorts of oddities or entrenched micromanias generally cause little harm and provide some profits for those who understand them. When they become embedded in the minds of government bureaucrats, however, the potential for harm is substantial.
"The Myth of 10
-6 as a Definition of Acceptable Risk'' by K. A. Kelly and N. C. Cardon, EPA Watch Vol. 3 available from 14140-L Parke Long Court, Chantilly, VA 22021, phone (703) 968-9768 discusses a particularly onerous example.A million (10
6 or six orders of magnitude) and its reciprocal are firmly entrenched in our psychology. Regardless of inflation, people still hope for a million dollars although, as Bunker Hunt said, even a billion dollars doesn't buy what it used to.Kelly and Cardon searched throughout the Federal and state agencies for a source of the commonly accepted notion that 10
-6 (one millionth) represents a rational level of risk for "environmental pollutants'' or their effects. Neither those agencies nor their fellow travelers in the enviro industry could give a rational answer. Apparently 10-6 just seemed like a good idea at the time and gradually became entrenched as various non-thinking entities parroted one another.The application of 10
-6 as an acceptable level for chemicals at "hazardous waste sites'' has been such a good idea that estimates for cleaning up all currently designated sites are as high a trillion dollars. Even Bunker Hunt would consider that real money. Recent EPA attempts to apply this standard to hazardous waste incinerator rules have led to an estimate of $288 million per case of cancer avoided (with the actual cost probably much higher).From pesticides and food additives to ground water contamination and smokestack emissions, Federal bureaucrats are sacrificing our wealth and health upon the altar of 10
-6. As the fire licks around our knees, this knowledge may not save us, but it is satisfying to know that even our government has no rational basis for the use of this standard.
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"How Baseball Outfielders Determine Where to Run to Catch Fly Balls'' by M. K. McBeath, D. M. Shaffer, and M. K. Kaiser,
Science 268 pp 569-573 (1995) is a joy to read. First, it is good science applied to a subject that brings back memories of successes and failures on the baseball field for most Americans. Second, the paper does not acknowledge tax-financed support or pander to any politically correct group. Science still shows signs of life.A combination of theory and experiment, the authors' basic hypothesis is that outfielders manage to arrive at the proper place to catch a fly ball by maintaining a linear optical trajectory or LOT. This is illustrated in Figure 1 reproduced from their paper.
The angle
is the observed angle of ball movement with respect to the horizon. If the outfielder runs so that the image that he sees of the ball rises linearly along the line rising at angle from home plate, he will automatically run directly under the ball as it reaches the ground. Maintenance of this linear optical trajectory requires that he run in a curved path at varying speed, but it eliminates the very difficult problem of optically measuring the trajectory of the ball and mentally calculating its path and destination.
Obviously, not all fly balls are tracked in this fashion. We have noticed, however, that outfielders who run and camp under the ball often need a little dive at the catch to make up for miscalculation of their position. On the other hand, it is marvelous that good outfielders make so many catches in which they are running all the way and arrive perfectly at the ball only just as it arrives at the ground. The LOT hypothesis explains this.
As the authors mention, their hypothesis "explains why fielders run into walls chasing uncatchable fly balls [because they are out of the baseball field] and why they do not rush ahead to the ball destination point, choosing instead to catch the ball while running. The LOT model [also] explains why balls hit to the side are easier to catch.'' Curvature of the LOT trajectory is easy to detect and compensate by running, whereas accurate ball acceleration measurement [needed for a ball hit directly at the fielder] is much more difficult to achieve.
Most importantly, the paper reports experimental curves of outfielders actually catching fly balls. In these experiments, the paths and varying speeds of the fielders along the ground have been transformed by calculation to show that they were just those necessary to maintain linear optical trajectories.
This is apparently a general technique. Cited are references to papers showing similar procedures used by airplane pilots, mating predators, and feeding fish and houseflies.
For most of us, this knowledge comes too late in life to parlay into baseball careers. Maybe, however, it could be adapted to give us a survival edge on the Los Angeles freeways.
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Los Alamos National Laboratory has reported the production of superconducting ribbons that, operating at a temperature of 77°K, can carry current densities of one million amperes per cm
2 in the absence of a magnetic field and 500,000 amperes per cm2 even in an 8 tesla field. See summary in Science 268 p 644 by R. F. Service.By comparison, No. 12 copper wire can carry about 800 amperes per cm
2. A temperature of 77°K is maintainable with liquid nitrogen. Liquid nitrogen currently costs about 25 cents per gallon and is moderately long-lived in properly insulated containers. It is manufactured from air, so it could even be made at the point of use in large scale applications.Many of the anticipated first uses for "warm'' superconductors involve production of magnetic fields such as in electric motors, electromagnets for medical imaging, and frictionless levitated passenger and freight trains. These new superconductors are especially important because, unlike earlier versions, they retain most of their superconductivity even in significant magnetic fields.
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The True State of the Planet
edited by Ronald Baily for the Competitive Enterprise Institute, published by The Free Press, 866 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10022, 450 pages, $12, phone 1-800-323-7445, is an excellent set of essays on everything from pesticides to global warming. We strongly recommend it.One of the book's many figures is reproduced below as Figure 2. From the World Resources Database, World Resources Institute / DSC Dataservices Inc., Washington, D.C., Figure 2 is normalized to 100 for 1979-1981. Although Paul Ehrlich's population bomb that would have left us all starving in the dark before 1980 turned out to be a dud, it is clear from this graph that we do have a developing food problem. What are we going to do with the looming enormous surplus?
Maybe the government could open a waste disposal site in Nevada because food is loaded with radioactivity, but what will we do until the disposal site is ready in 2050? There is one obvious solution - more people. This is one race that technology cannot be allowed to win!
More seriously, does this graph tell us anything about the millions of unfortunate people who are currently starving? There is a surplus of food, but there is also a surplus of government meddlers. Technology and free enterprise created the farming methods that have produced most of this food. If technology, free enterprise, and normal human compassion, where necessary, were allowed to distribute it, suffering by starvation could be as rare as smallpox.
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The excesses of pseudoenvironmentalism and of New Age "naturalism'' are enough to cause a reaction of repulsion in anyone who thinks rationally and is interested in objective truth as opposed to mysticism. Conditioned by having correctly rejected seemingly endless claims that specific products of technology are creeping into our bodies to do us harm, there is a human tendency to reject all such possibilities without further investigation. This is a further harm that the mystics do. They discredit by association certain sensible considerations.
When I studied nutrition and cancer in mice many years ago, we determined dose-response curves for several individual nutrients. We also conducted the first rigorous laboratory experiments showing the beneficial effects of fruit and vegetable diets in reducing cancer growth. I was always looking for clues in the alternative health literature that might have merit, even though it was obvious that much of that literature is nonsense. Some of the things of interest were so politically incorrect that I used codes for them on my office chalkboard, so that visitors would not be offended.
The 1970
Handbook of Chemistry and Physics uses italics to warn, "It is therefore important that mercury be handled with the utmost care'' after commenting about its toxicity and ability to enter the body even through unbroken skin. The Merck Index also warns of mercury toxicity. In the 1950s, long before the OSHA madness, a mercury spillin the laboratory was treated as a major event by health and safety personnel. Yet the
Merck Index also says that occasional swallowing of metallic mercury is harmless. Breathing mercury vapor is the worst hazard. Of course, the dose makes the poison, but what about the mercury that most of us have in our amalgam dental fillings?"The benefits and risks of dental amalgam'' by S. B. Corbin and W. G. Kohn,
JADA 125 pp 381-388 contains some interesting data. They point out the great dental benefits of amalgam tooth fillings and estimate the cost of replacement of all existing amalgam fillings at about $248 billion. The extra cost of placing no new amalgam fillings is estimated at $12 billion per year. If we assume that one life is lost for each $10 million of waste (probably too conservative), amalgam fillings would need to kill 1,200 people per year to be the more dangerous. This would surely be detected. Loss, however, of a few weeks from each of a million or more lives by slight acceleration in physiological aging might be very difficult to detect.Central questions, of course, are whether or not there is a mercury threshold or even a mercury hormesis effect. Rigorous answers to these questions are not known. Very high doses of mercury are fatal, and subclinical effects have been seen at doses about 10-fold higher than the normal human intake. Corbin and Kohn report, from a review of 1980s published research, that the usual intake from food, water, and air (mostly food) is about 2 to 6 micrograms/day/person. The median of wide-ranging experimental determinations of intake from amalgam tooth fillings is about 3 micrograms/day/person. So, an ordinary complement of amalgam fillings approximately doubles one's mercury intake. We do not know whether this is harmful, but most parents are forced to guess. My guess is that, where the economic impediment is not too great, parents should have non-mercury fillings put into their children's teeth.
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Figure 3 is from
Nuclear Issues 17 No. 4, April 1995 available from 8 Ruvigny Mansions, Embankment, Putney, London SW15 1LE, reporting a study by the Paul Scherrer Institute in Switzerland of accidents in worldwide energy industries. Immediate deaths in 2,300 accidents occurring between 1969 and 1986 were considered.
These results, showing the overwhelming safety of nuclear power generation, are a further chapter to Petr Beckmann's book The Health Hazards of NOT Going Nuclear, which is still available for $7.95 from Mrs. Beckmann at Golem Press, Box 1342, Boulder, CO 80306.
While this study does not include every accident that occurred, it does include the most comprehensive list of accidents its authors were able to assemble through a substantial effort. Notice that the total of all accidental deaths in all five energy generation industries for the entire world combined was less than 20,000 or about 1,000 per year.
If we estimate that the existence of this wonderful energy system adds only 5 years to the average life expectancy (20 years may be more accurate), then (5,000,000,000)(5)/(30)(1,000)(60) = approximately 14,000 human lifetimes saved by energy for each life lost in energy accidents. (We assume 30 years of life lost for each accidental death and 60 years for the average life span.) Calculated another way, (60)(1000)(365)(30)(24)/(5)(109) = approximately 3 hours of life lost to energy accidents per human lifetime. If all power were generated by nuclear plants, then, on the basis of the actual accident record, this 3 hours drops to about 1 minute. If air pollution deaths are included, the time lost rises - but not for nuclear power which produces no air pollution. Then, there are the lives lost in other activities related to energy generation and use. These, too, are fewer for nuclear power. See The Health Hazards of NOT Going Nuclear for those estimates.
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Our laboratory freezer required repair this week. Fortunately, the repair man had some of the dwindling supply of freon to repair it. He informed me that, if he were to allow any freon to escape into the atmosphere and I reported him for this transgression, he would be fined $20,000 - $10,000 of which
would be paid to me for reporting him.We thought this sort of tyranny was supposed to be going out of style.
As the enviro war on column 7 of the periodic table intensifies, many species just have not gotten the apocalyptic message and many "polluters'' are proving unwilling to inform on one another. This includes a long list of malefactors such as marine algae, kelp, wood fungus, ice plant, mushrooms, cedar trees, and phytoplankton. "Mother Earth,'' too, just keeps belching from volcanoes vast quantities of CFCs as well as hydrogen fluoride and hydrogen chloride.
"The Natural Production of Chlorinated Compounds'' by G. G. Gribble,
Environ. Sci. Technol. 28 pp 310A-319A (1994) documents this. See also "Naturally Occurring Organohalogen Compounds - A Survey'' by G. G. Gribble, J. Natural Products 55, pp 1353-1395 (1992). A good complement to these papers is "A Rational View of Stratospheric Ozone'' by H. W. Ellsaesser (1994) available from Wirt-schaftskammer Österreich, Wiedner Hauptstrasse 63, A-1040, Wien, Austria or from Hugh W. Ellsaesser, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, P.O. Box 808, Livermore, CA 94551.Gribble reports, for example, that the "global emission rate of chlo-romethane from the marine and terrestrial biomass is 5 million tons per year, whereas anthropogenic [human caused] chloromethane emissions are only 26,000 tons per year.'' He counts 2,000 different halogenated chemicals (containing fluorine, chlorine, bromine, or iodine) that are discharged into the atmosphere by natural processes.
Ellsaesser quotes several authorities who admit that they have no idea whether man-made chemicals are affecting the ozone layer at all. Moreover, changes in atmospheric ozone observed to date are in the range of natural fluctuations and are not having any demonstrably negative effects. See, for example,
Access to Energy 21 -3 p. 4.These and similar enviro scams are, I think, beginning to run out of steam. While the counterarguments were bottled up in professional journals and enviro-friendly news media kept repeating the lies, the lies were able to thrive. Now, however, the pain of such things as refrigeration repression is beginning to reach the general public along with easily understood explanations of the truth.
Two recent reports in the
Reader's Digest, "Are We Running Out of Trees'' and "Is the Earth Really Getting Warmer'' (December 1994 p. 131) are examples. With 27 million copies per month and probably over 100 million actual readers, the Reader's Digest is one source of truth from which the enviros cannot hide.
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