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Access to Energy
Vol. 24, No. 3
 • Human Bandwidth
 • POLITICALLY CORRECT GENOCIDE
 • ANALYSIS OF ERRORS
 • TECHNOLOGICAL DEFLATION
 • MAKING THE GRADE
 • RADIATION, CHILDREN, AND TAX MONEY
 • STARK RAVING MAD
 • GOOD READING

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Human Bandwidth

If we let our most positive hopes for the future and our imaginations zoom out from our present locations and from our present time, what do the subscribers to Access to Energy - mostly people who also subscribe to the submasthead printed above - envision?

In the early part of that zoom, most of us see an earth and solar system filled with free men and women using and rapidly developing the miracles of technology that science is now making possible. Our power is nuclear; our homes, food, and means of transportation are wonders of convenience and effectiveness; our lives are long and healthful; and our technological creations are blended into a lush natural environment that is continually enhanced by advancing technology. (For one truth that our pseudoenvironmentalist enemies pretend to overlook is that free enterprise and advanced technology enable mankind to be generous and benevolent toward his environment, while tyranny and a lack of that technology require him to damage his environment in his struggle for survival.)

Zooming farther out in time, our individual secular images increasingly diverge as our abilities to predict become more unstable. As the stage upon which mankind is permitted to live expands to include the nearby stars, the technology at our disposal becomes more difficult to imagine. Certainly, with freedom and time at our disposal, that future can be wonderful indeed.

As this exercise continues, we divide into two distinct groups -both groups completely allied in their support for science, technology, and freedom and yet differing in their expectations for the ultimate future. One group is solely secular in its outlook, while the other believes in more than just a secular world. In America, this belief is primarily Christian and is based upon the Bible. The Robinson family is in this group as were most (but not all) of the originators of the great experiment in human freedom that is called the United States.

Our optimistic view of the future, whether we focus upon its technological wonders or on the fact that it is morally right, always includes human beings. For if humans are not there, what have we accomplished? Slightly rearranging a small corner of the universe and then ceasing to exist seems a poor goal for all of this effort. In any case, humans will almost certainly be there. We have little choice in that. Humans provide, of course, our secular means of getting from here to there, our primary motivation for making the trip - and also our only major impediment to doing so.

For both of the two distinct groups mentioned above have subgroups (not usually subscribers to Access to Energy) whose enormously exaggerated view of their own self-importance leads them to work for various sorts of mental and physical tyranny. This tyranny -sometimes exercised only over small numbers of people under their immediate control and sometimes the driving force behind dreams of world domination - is definitively anti-science, anti-technology, and anti-free enterprise. Pleased to use the fruits that science, technology, and free enterprise have already provided, these people generally work to prevent further advance which they see as threatening to their own self-interests. Their primary weapon is misinformation. This weapon is effective because of human ignorance.

Even as our information technology expands rapidly toward a time when entire libraries recording the lives, thoughts, and progress of billions of human beings will be made almost instantly available to machines in our homes by wire transfer and by small pieces of plastic memories, the bottleneck between us and human freedom lies in the human mind. The bandwidth (information capacity) of our technology is expanding enormously, but the bandwidth of the human mind is not. The accuracy of our technological information is increasing, but the accuracy of the human mind - ever influenced by self-interest and ignorance - is not. Regardless of the specific outcomes, brutal reminders of this are awaiting Americans in the November elections.

It is easy to thrive upon a cause that is shared by a large enough market. To sing and dance each month for the entertainment of scientists, technologists, and their free enterprise allies in the general public is more recreation than work. There is lots of new technology to brag about and the antitechnologists busily provide endless material for ridicule in "Stark Raving Mad.'' That's entertainment, but it does not solve our underlying problem - a problem that could bury all of our hopes in a thousand years of tyranny and mysticism if we prove unequal to its solution.

It is absolutely necessary that the small bandwidth - the small capacity to learn - in our own individual brains and in the brains of our fellow human beings be filled with the truth about science and technology and the truth about human freedom. If we are serious about the Access to Energy masthead and are not merely using it as a vehicle for entertainment, then our job is not the easy one of ridiculing ignorance. It is the hard job of educating our countrymen - most of whom are currently unknowledgeable not only of relevant facts, but are even unskilled in the rational methods of thought by which those facts may be properly understood.

Each human mind has only a small capacity, and it also learns at a slow rate. Moreover, as it becomes older, the capacity to absorb new knowledge (and fit it in around the accumulation of prejudices and other irrational content) decreases. It is absolutely essential that fundamental thought processes be taught at an early age and be continually augmented with a reliable flow of useful and truthful facts.

For these reasons, the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine has started a school. (We have no delusions of grandeur. Thousands of such schools should be started.) Through our initial six self-teaching home school CDs, we now have about 5,000 students between the ages of 6 and 18. Soon, our CD curriculum will be expanded to a set of twenty CDs containing a very complete curriculum up to age 18. With these, we hope that our student body will grow to about 20,000 during 1997. It is our plan to then start producing university level courses. We hope, before the year 2000, to have a complete curriculum through at least four-year college and to begin producing graduate courses.

We make no apologies that our courses are designed to produce students who are pro-science, pro-technology, and pro-freedom. There are not "two sides'' to these issues. There is only one side of value - the truth. The truth is the only thing that we will teach.


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POLITICALLY CORRECT GENOCIDE

Suppose that next week one of those cute cars or trucks labeled "for official use only'' that we see all over our highways (the label means that we pay for the vehicle with involuntary taxes, but it is illegal for us to use it) were to drive upwind of an American city and release a few canisters of aerosol-borne anthrax spores and that the resulting epidemic of suffering from this disease killed 2 million American men, women, and children. Moreover, at his subsequent press conference, the President announced that he was pleased by the success of this project and had ordered that it become a yearly event. Each year, two million innocent Americans would be murdered by disease. He explains that he is acting on an Environmental Protection Agency reportconcluding that the environment is suffering from the impact of too many people, so the obvious solution is to kill some of them. Being a moderate in all things (and this being an election year), the President has decided to kill only 2 million per year.

In the ensuing debate, he is supported by the ever-loyal press, but an undercurrent of dissatisfaction develops because the two million dead happen to include a racially unbalanced mix of people and a large proportion of voters from the political party opposed to the President.

A compromise is reached. Henceforth the anthrax will instead be released upon countries outside of the United States. A couple more aircraft carriers are budgeted for the fleet in case anyone objects.

This series of events is unthinkable. Right? Well, the details are probably unthinkable, but the program is not just thinkable - it is effectively a current program of the Environmental Protection Agency, all of whose employees work for the President of the United States.

"Yesterday's Malaria Wars'' by Robert S. Desowitz in Nature 383, p 135 (1996), reviews a book The Tomorrow of Malaria by S. Litsios which gives an "account of malaria's current annual toll - 300 million cases with 2 million deaths. DDT is gone.'' Green and Gold 6, No. 7, September 1996, p 4, P. O. Box 74416, Lynwood Ridge, Pretoria 0040, South Africa, quotes a 1994 World Health Organization report that the number of countries considered to be malarial rose from 90 in 1992 to 140 in 1994. In 1994, the 140 included 33% of the world. WHO estimated the annual cases at 500 million, with 2 million deaths and 90% of the cases occurring in Africa.

"Remembering Silent Spring and Its Consequences'' by J. Gordon Edwards, available by preprint from Dr. J. Gordon Edwards, Department of Biological Sciences, San Jose State University, One Washing-ton Square, San Jose, CA 95192-0100, should be in every biology class. Edwards gives the science, nonscience and politics behind the EPA ban of DDT even though the EPA's own investigations concluded that DDT was not harmful to man, fish, birds, or other wildlife.

Edwards writes that a reporter asked Charles Wurster, chief "scientist'' for the Environmental Defense Fund, if a DDT ban wouldn't result in the greater use of much more toxic pesticides that had a long history of killing people. Wurster's response, "So what? People are the cause of all the problems. We have too many of them. We need to get rid of some of them and this is as good a way as any.'' He was then asked: "Doctor, how do you square the killing of people with the mere loss of some birds [although the science showed birds were not being harmed by DDT]?'' Wurster answered: "It doesn't really make a lot of difference, because the organo phosphate acts locally and only kills farm-workers, and most of them are Mexicans and Negroes.'' Ah well, so there were unwise statements by extremists. Right! Except that the DDT ban, currently in effect and completely under the control of the President of the United States and his employees at the EPA, is still killing 2 million people per year and causing suffering for hundreds of millions more - and most of them just happen to be South and Central Americans and Negroes (and some other races in Asia).

As Marjorie M. Hecht reports in "Bring Back DDT to Defeat Malaria and Save Lives'' in 21st Century Science and Technology, available from P. O. Box 16285, Washington, DC 20041, even in localities where mosquito strains have developed resistance to DDT, it is effective in repelling these insects from treated houses if not in killing them.

According to the National Academy of Sciences, DDT saved 500 million lives before it was banned. This is an ongoing story of political power, nonscience, and genocide on a scale rivaled only by the mass killings under Stalin and Mao. It is not mitigated by the claims from the EPA and the President that they are acting with good intentions.


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ANALYSIS OF ERRORS

In the evaluation of every quantitative scientific investigation, it is mandatory that the scientist give a quantitative evaluation of the errors inherent in his work. Along with many other principles of ordinary honesty, however, the analysis of errors has been a casualty of press conference publication, politically correct interpretation, and the tax-money driven pseudoethics that are the hallmarks of enviroscience in general and the global warming industry in particular.

Figure 1 is a diagram from "Uncertainties in Climate Modeling: Solar Variability and Other Factors,'' a paper presented to the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources of the United States Senate by Sallie Baliunas (available from the George Marshall Institute, 1730 K Street N.W., Suite 905, Washington, DC 20006-3868).

Since errors in the climate change models are much larger than the the predicted greenhouse effect, the modeling scientists should have disqualified their own models as irrelevant to the global warming hypothesis. That this must be done by another scientist before the United States Senate reveals improper actions by the modeling scientists.


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TECHNOLOGICAL DEFLATION

Technological progress is continuously reducing the costs of production, so the cost of living should also be continuously decreasing. Unfortunately, the hidden tax of government money printing confiscates this benefit. Still, in the theoretical world of constant 1995 dollars, it is remarkable to see this advance of technology as shown in Figure 2 reproduced from "Electricity Costs: Nuclear Closes Gap with Coal'' in Nuclear Energy Insight 96, pp 1-5, available from the Nuclear Energy Institute, Suite 400, 1776 I Street, N.W., Washington, DC 20006-3708. The averaged costs of fuel, operating, and maintenance costs in 1995 were 1.88, 1.92, 2.68, and 3.77 cents per kilowatt hour for coal, nuclear, natural gas, and oil respectively.

 


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MAKING THE GRADE

"Making the grade. Democrats ranked much higher than Republicans did in a controversial analysis of 30 science-related votes in the House'' was the subtitle on Figure 3 in Science 273, p 1793 (1996) in the article "Congressional Scorecard Sparks Furor'' by A. Lawler.

Calling itself "Science-Watch Services Inc.'' and referred to by Science as "a group of distinguished scientists,'' a gaggle of tax-spenders released their "scorecard'' of the Members of the House of Representatives based on 30 floor votes during the 104th Congress. This scorecard was released just six weeks before the November 1996 election and published by Science five weeks before the election.

The "controversy'' and "furor'' referred to by Science has nothing to do with the scorecard. The worry is that Republicans might retain control of the House of Representatives, and their help may be needed to fill the porkbarrel during coming years.

From Global Warming to the ban of CFC refrigerants, from DDT to Endangered Species, and from Missile Defense to nuclear power, if you are wondering why the United States seems to continually pursue public policies that are the opposite of those that would be expected -based on rational scientific data and evaluations - and why there are always sufficient "scientists'' and prestigious scientific publications available to propagate the erroneous ideas upon which these wrong-headed policies are based, you need look no further than Figure 3.

"Pro-science,'' to the horde of non-defense "researchers'' funded each year by $33 billion of your tax dollars, means voting more money for the research porkbarrel and "anti-science'' means voting for less.

For the spenders, pro-science also means bias and sometimes outright lying about scientific matters if their big-spending political friends are in need of support; it means avoiding politically incorrect experiments that might produce data contrary to the policies of these big spenders; and it means producing blizzards of research papers with politically correct biases in order to keep the money flowing in the authors' directions. The competition is not for better science, it is for science that more nearly conforms to the desires of those who hold the purse strings. Also, even among honest scientists, it means keeping quiet about one's misgivings about the activities of colleagues which may affect the flow of money.

If this $33 billion dollar annual porkbarrel were removed from the backs of the American taxpayers, the United States would be richer by far more than this amount.

Science would be healthier if it were purged of second-rate people who are only there as a result of money instead of ability. First-rate scientists would be free to pursue their work rather than being trapped in offices with word processors pandering to government bureaucrats. The endowments of Ameri-can academic institutions and private capital would fund at least half of our current scientific establishment - the better half - and that half, freed of politics, could return its attention to the truth. The quality of American basic science could once again increase, since recognition would be based upon accomplishment instead of money-raising.

Without government-paid physical and economic "scientists'' distorting facts, Americans could be freed from many of the regulatory burdens that have no rational scientific basis. That cost is illustrated in Figures 4 and 5 from Ten Thousand Commandments by C. W. Crews, Jr. (1996) from the Competitive Enterprise Institute, 1001 Connecticut Avenue, N. W., Suite 1250, Washington, DC 20036.


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RADIATION, CHILDREN, AND TAX MONEY

"Effects of Radiation on Children'' in Nature 383, p 226 (1996), is an exchange of letters by scientists attempting to detect evidence of genetic changes in children - in the children of Japanese atomic bomb survivors and in children living near the Chernobyl accident. The Japa-nese children show no detectable effect at all. The two research groups are now squabbling over the Chernobyl data, which apparently can be made to show a small effect if one is not too careful about controls and ignores the small number of children under study. In other words, the scientists are still looking and are hoping for a politically correct result.

This is separate from the acknowledged 700 excess cases of thyroid cancer in children resulting in three deaths near Chernobyl. These resulted from Soviet negligence in not providing the children with thyroid blocking doses of iodide during the weeks following the accident.

The radiation effect studies, as is now so common, focus upon finding a measurable effect rather than upon finding differences in health.

Recently, during a visit to our laboratory here by a tax-funded scientist, I was explaining that we are finding that the health and longevity of mice is not diminished even at carbon dioxide concentrations as high as 3,000 parts per million (the current atmospheric level is about 360 ppm, and 700 ppm is at the outer limit of most future global scenarios). "Yes,'' our visitor exclaimed, "but did you measure their blood pH?'' No, we are interested in their health and longevity. If health is not diminished, there is little motivation to look for reasons for nonexistent ill health. Regardless of substantial buffering, a slight change in blood pH might occur at very high carbon dioxide levels, but why would this be of importance? He disagreed. Those blood pH measurements were, in his opinion, of very great importance.

If we were among the new breed of tax-guzzling "scientists,'' however, we would probably agree with him. We would look for changes in blood pH and not bother with the laborious health and longevity studies. Just raise the carbon dioxide level around a few rabbits until a blood pH change is detected (carbon dioxide becomes carbonic acid when dissolved in water, and pH meters are now very sensitive), call a press conference, issue dire warnings about the potential health effects of this newly discovered phenomenon, and send the resulting articles in the popular press to the Environmental Protection Agency and the National Institutes of Health along with grant requests for a few hundred thousand more tax dollars per year.

If we were really astute, we would use baby rabbits. Relating the new crisis to "the children'' should ensure an even larger tax grant.

Biological systems are so complicated and measuring instruments are now so sensitive that it is trivial to find a measurable difference and then relate it to some hypothetical problem by convolutions of reasoning that can be neither confirmed or refuted by honest scientists. Then press conference generated tax dollars can be made to flow copiously over the whole charade.


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STARK RAVING MAD

Commenting to the New York Times over the California Ballot Proposition that would have lifted the strict protections on the state's mountain lions, Beier said, "But now we know that if we're going to have mountain lions around, maybe they're going to eat us now and then. I'm comfortable with that, but a lot of people may not be.'' Oregon forests were awash in cougars (mountain lions) before "ecological controls'' were instituted here. Now, so are our farms and rural neighborhoods. A large number of emus, a horse, and a group of pigs were killed in separate attacks by cougars recently on farms neighboring to ours. The cougars have lost much of their fear of humans and their nocturnal habits. The Robinson children have been chased from our fields several times in broad daylight by cougars.Once, we observed one eating a sheep at noon. Perhaps the cougars will develop a taste for ecologists before they start eating us.
This is the same Dr. Kessler who is using the FDA to wage an election year regulatory war on cigarette companies because he claims to be concerned that children may take up smoking.


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GOOD READING



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