Access to Energy

ENERGY EFFICIENCY

It is our observation that it is generally easier to transform energy into a convenient form than it is to do without it. In any case, a free market keeps these two activities - "production'' and efficiency of use - in correct balance. Circumstances, of course, vary widely. When we moved to this farm in 1980, I noticed three things - the 100-year-old farmhouse had no insulation, cutting firewood was time-consuming, and an enormous amount of water was available in the irrigation system and creek from the average 60-inch rainfall during the winter. Rather than insulating the house, therefore, I put a homemade turbine and generator in the irrigation system. This $5,000 project generated a continuous 30 kilowatts during the winter and made insulating the house and cutting firewood unnecessary. (Then the Oregon bureaucrats discovered that I had transformed gravitational energy from the water on my land into electrical energy without a permit and the whole thing became a nightmare provided to us by our government with our taxes.) The point is that, in this circumstance, conservation and efficiency were the more expensive options.

"Road to Nowhere - Energy conservation often backfires and leads to increased consumption'' by Herbert Inhaber and Harry Saunders in The Sciences, November-December (1994) published by the New York Academy of Sciences provides a rare insight into the consequences of conservation. In the case of convenient forms of energy, they conclude that conservation will probably increase the consumption of those forms of energy and also increase overall economic activity and living standards - both desirable goals.

With citations and examples beginning with the invention of the steam engine in 1698 and continuing through the present day, Inhaber and Saunders present a compelling case.

Early inefficient steam engines consumed little coal because they were not greatly used, while the advent of efficient steam engines sharply increased overall use of coal. Early steel production was inefficient and used only small amounts of iron ore, while introduction of the efficient Bessemer process led to greatly increased usage of iron ore and coal. The government of Denmark introduced severe conservation standards for the efficiency of electrical appliances with the effect that (efficient appliances being more desirable and less costly to operate) electrical energy consumption in Denmark increased. The United States mandated more fuel efficient automobiles, so more automobiles were purchased and driven farther, canceling the expected reduction in national fuel usage.

These events were much more desirable than those hoped for by conservationists. Had civilization been trapped in the wood-burning age or the coal age by actual reduced consumption of these resources, progress toward the nuclear age would have been slowed and overall living standards and life expectancies would have been much lower.

The authors also point out that this principle applies to conservation of labor by industrial increases in labor efficiency. It played a role in the concomitant fall of Marxism. Marx claimed that, as labor efficiency increased, workers would be thrown out of work. In fact, increased labor efficiency led to vast increases in employment.

In a free market, the use of a resource is determined by its marginal price. This price (measured at present in America in dollars) is actually the fractional purchasing power of potential users. Efficiency gives users more for their money, so use of more efficient resources is greater.

An example yet to come may be use of "solar'' energy. Although it will never be the method of choice for high intensity energy needs (as Petr Beckmann has shown in earlier Access to Energy issues), solar energy has potential to supply residential energy requirements in most of the United States.

Our family uses about 60 kilowatt hours per day (more than most residential users because we pay only about 6 cents/kwh). At today's price of $5/watt for solar panels and efficiency assumed for fixed collectors, in our climate, of 4 peak hours per day, we would need 15,000 watts of panels on our roof at a cost of $45,000 and about $5,000 for batteries, inverters, and other attachments in order to transform 60 kwh/day. A typical, currently available solar panel generates about 11 peak watts per square foot, so we would need 1,350 square feet of roof angled in about the right direction. Moreover, panel lifetime is currently estimated at 20 to 50 years. Assuming 35 years, depreciation on the panels alone is about the same as our current electric bill.

Special situations, low energy applications, hobbyists, and self-sufficiency projects are using these panels now, but most Americans are surely not shingling their houses with them. (There is even a tiny local industry here that refills ordinary automobile-sized storage batteries for people who carry them to their homes in the hills, withdraw electrical energy, and bring them back for refills.) Solar cells will, however, become less expensive in the future. Interestingly, in a world of solid-state electronics where advances in efficiency are so rapid that each month's computer catalogue is a new experience, solid-state solar cells have decreased in price very little over the past decade. This may not be entirely an engineering problem.

In any case, imagine the new situation that would prevail if solar cell efficiency in terms of cost per watt were to decrease ten-fold to 50 cents per watt. Then, shingling the roof of our home with solar cells plus related equipment would cost less than $10,000. Assuming a 5% real return on this capital plus depreciation of $500 per year gives a cost of electricity of less than 5 cents per kwh. (With nuclear power cost dropping toward 2 cents per kwh, this may still not be a bargain.) Many Americans pay 10 cents or more per kwh, so a spectacularly successful conservation program to improve solar cell price/watt could lead to orders of magnitude more demand for solar cells.

Inhaber and Saunders conclude that their "difference of opinion is not with those who seek to save energy; it is primarily with those who are confused about what transpires when they do.'' Access to Energy has deeper differences with many of the pseudo-conservationists who seek to use government power against free-enterprise. The free-market already knows that conservation and efficiency of a resource increases utilization of that resource and increases the technological well-being of our civilization. Inhaber and Saunders illustrate that beautifully. Let's hope not many of the pseudoconserva-tionists read their article.

 



 • Conservation of Energy
 • ENERGY EFFICIENCY
 • SECRECY AND SECURITY
 • NO PLACE TO STAND?
 • SAXON MATH
 • DANGERS OF DIOXANE
 • INCREASING ACCESS TO ENERGY
 • STARK RAVING MAD
 • GOOD READING
 • OREGON INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE AND MEDICINE
Vol. 22, No. 4

Newsletter: Access to Energy Newsletter Archive
Volume: Issues
Issue/No.: Vol. 22, No. 4

Date: December 01, 1994 02:48 PM
Title: Conservation of Energy

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