To a steadily increasing extent, the war that is currently in progress - freedom, science, and technology vs. totalitarianism and an irrational society driven by envy, fear, and mythology - is being reduced to a simple conflict between truth vs. fiction. The outcome of this cultural conflict will determine many things about the future of our civilization - especially the nature of its energy resources. Although it is tempting to philosophize that truth will eventually prevail, that "eventually'' could be in the far distant future with extensive unnecessary human misery between here and there. As of September 20, all polls indicate that Clinton-Gore will win the November election by an overwhelming margin. Yet the same polls show that the majority of Americans realize that Bill Clinton is habitually untruthful, while Gore's lack of integrity, measured by his published statements on environmental science, is rivaled only by Clinton's. Although it is not unusual for politicians to lack integrity, these two individuals are worse by orders of magnitude. Most worrisome, however, is the apparent lack of concern among American women voters. While polls show that American men are evenly split between Clinton-Gore and Dole-Kemp and professional or college-educated men prefer Dole-Kemp by a margin of 12%, two-thirds of American women say that they intend to vote for Clinton-Gore rather than Dole-Kemp or one of other candidates. (See
There is supposedly a worldwide debate in progress on the question of "global warming'' - the hypothesis that human release of carbon dioxide will cause a catastrophic rise in global temperature. The Clinton-Gore Administration, which promotes this hypothesis as established fact, is in the process of committing the United States to reductions in the release of carbon dioxide that will severely diminish American living standards and, promoted on a world-wide scale, will mean death to great numbers of people in less-developed countries.
Yet, as the George Marshall Institute has very clearly pointed out, an essential experiment that tests the global warming hypothesis has been carried out. The results of that experiment demonstrate that this hypothesis is erroneous. During the 20th century, atmospheric carbon dioxide levels have risen approximately 80 ppm, but the temperature increase from this rise has been so small that it is barely discernible within ordinary temperature fluctuations (if present at all). The greenhouse effect from carbon dioxide when added to the current earth atmosphere is, therefore, so small that projections of harmful global temperature increases are clearly wrong. (See previous issues of
Access to Energy and also testimony on September 17, 1996 to the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, United States Senate, by Dr. Sallie Baliunas, available from the George C. Marshall Institute, 1730 K Street, N.W., Suite 905, Washington, DC 20006-3868.) Some "scientists'' (most of whom depend upon tax financed global warming research grants) have tried to cloud this issue by pointing to a 0.5 °C increase in temperature that occurred early in the century. Since, however, this temperature increase occurred before 1940 and most of the carbon dioxide increase occurred after 1940, this temperature increase could not have been caused by the carbon dioxide increase which occurred afterwards. The 0.5 °C increase was apparently part of the normally fluctuating earth temperature which, it happens, was higher than now during the Middle Ages - a period of benign climatic conditions.How is this indisputable logic handled in the press?
Consumer Reports, p 40, September 1996, dismisses it by saying, "perfect synchronization is an unrealistic expectation.'' According to Consumer Reports, it is "unrealistic'' to reason that a cause must occur before or during any alleged effect from that cause. It is also unrealistic to believe that writers for Consumer Reports are unable to understand this simple logic. They are evidently telling an untruth in order to deliberately mislead readers who are not carefully evaluating their text.Even more outrageous is "Global Warming Is the Target of Dis-information Campaign'' by Bette Hileman in
Chemical and Engineering News, p 33, August 19, 1996. Hileman claims that satellite measurements which show very little change in atmospheric temperature during the past 17 years should be disregarded because they "are influenced both by the increasing cooling in the stratosphere from increasing ozone depletion and by temperatures at the surface.'' Yet, satellites are also measuring atmospheric ozone concentrations (see, for example, Access to Energy 21 No. 3, p 4 (1993)) and are finding no significant decrease in worldwide ozone levels. The average atmospheric ozone level, except in the very special conditions localized in the Antarctic, fluctuates in a narrow, naturally determined range. Chemical and Engineering News apparently hopes to influence readers who do not know about the results of satellite ozone measurements by compounding one enviro lie with another.So, restricting the time interval to that following substantial increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide, satellite measurements show no increase in atmospheric temperature, while ground measurements show a very small increase. This sets an upper limit on greenhouse warming that is so small as to be of negligible importance.
Truthful scientists should generally conclude, therefore, that global warming is an insignificant non-problem
as far as all experimental measurements to date have determined. Most also conclude that atmospheric measurements should continue, so that this important aspect of the environment is carefully monitored.Untruthful politicians, self-interested enviro scientists and journalists, and even some unprincipled nuclear power advocates, however, continue to lie to the American people about catastrophic "global warming.'' Truth is an essential ingredient in the glue that holds our civilization together. Without truth, all that has been built by freedom, science, and technology will eventually disintegrate.
|
|
Vol. 24, No. 2
Newsletter: Access to Energy Newsletter Archive Volume: Issues Issue/No.: Vol. 24, No. 2 Date: October 01, 1996 12:51 PM Title: Truth vs. Fiction
Copyright © 2004 - Access to Energy Newsletter Archive
|